William and Mary
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
156  Alex McGrath SR 32:05
157  Josh Hardin JR 32:05
211  John Muller JR 32:15
333  Radford Gunzenhauser SO 32:33
556  Joseph LoRusso SR 33:02
743  Joshua Mercado-Reigh SO 33:21
1,095  Ryan Gousse FR 33:55
1,129  Nathan Thomas 33:58
1,207  Jack Anderson SO 34:04
1,296  David Waterman FR 34:11
1,636  William Bass FR 34:39
1,916  David Gunnerson SO 35:08
2,269  Ian Macfawn FR 35:39
National Rank #43 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.7%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 32.3%
Top 10 in Regional 99.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alex McGrath Josh Hardin John Muller Radford Gunzenhauser Joseph LoRusso Joshua Mercado-Reigh Ryan Gousse Nathan Thomas Jack Anderson David Waterman William Bass
Lehigh Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 710 32:05 32:08 32:13 32:09 32:49 33:25 34:09 34:02 33:53 34:40
Tribe Open 10/13 34:57 34:10
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 778 32:51 31:48 32:07 32:23 33:02 33:53 34:03
Colonial Athletic Association Championships 10/27 865 31:53 32:30 32:29 32:51 33:27 33:45 33:47 34:21 33:56 34:54
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 861 31:55 32:05 32:37 34:11 33:56 33:11 33:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.7% 25.9 602 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Region Championship 100% 6.2 193 0.2 0.6 3.3 9.3 18.8 25.2 20.4 14.6 5.1 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex McGrath 4.4% 99.7
Josh Hardin 4.1% 102.0
John Muller 2.9% 123.7
Radford Gunzenhauser 2.7% 158.7
Joseph LoRusso 2.7% 221.7
Joshua Mercado-Reigh 2.7% 241.5
Ryan Gousse 2.8% 251.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex McGrath 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.8 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.4 4.5 3.9 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.3 3.0
Josh Hardin 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.6 2.9 4.0 4.2 5.3 4.9 5.1 4.8 4.4 4.5 4.2 4.3 3.3 3.5 2.8
John Muller 26.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.2 2.9 4.1 3.5 3.9 3.8 4.0 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.6
Radford Gunzenhauser 39.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0
Joseph LoRusso 68.2 0.0
Joshua Mercado-Reigh 87.9
Ryan Gousse 120.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 2
3 3.3% 34.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.2 1.2 3
4 9.3% 5.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 0.5 4
5 18.8% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18.7 0.1 5
6 25.2% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.1 0.1 6
7 20.4% 20.4 7
8 14.6% 14.6 8
9 5.1% 5.1 9
10 1.9% 1.9 10
11 0.4% 0.4 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.0% 0.0 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 2.7% 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 97.3 0.8 1.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 80.3% 1.0 0.8
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0